Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.022833 0.026604 0.030763 0.035685 0.041345 0.047645 0.055182
2025-10-26 0.016645 0.021385 0.027100 0.034479 0.043730 0.054922 0.069462
2025-11-02 0.012455 0.017439 0.023939 0.032990 0.045213 0.061088 0.083198
2025-11-09 0.009704 0.014674 0.021622 0.031963 0.046866 0.067450 0.097893
2025-11-16 0.007956 0.012889 0.020227 0.031814 0.049496 0.075269 0.115424
2025-11-23 0.006462 0.011161 0.018562 0.030899 0.050733 0.081086 0.130651
2025-11-30 0.005764 0.010538 0.018450 0.032283 0.055561 0.092730 0.155945
2025-12-07 0.004958 0.009573 0.017599 0.032286 0.058089 0.100966 0.176722
2025-12-14 0.004144 0.008436 0.016257 0.031208 0.058582 0.105832 0.192384
2025-12-21 0.003581 0.007660 0.015425 0.030880 0.060277 0.112823 0.212316
2025-12-28 0.003348 0.007485 0.015675 0.032572 0.065815 0.127090 0.246531
2026-01-04 0.003066 0.007158 0.015573 0.033552 0.070096 0.139486 0.278577
2026-01-11 0.002622 0.006417 0.014544 0.032574 0.070520 0.144884 0.298430
2026-01-18 0.002299 0.005885 0.013870 0.032231 0.072173 0.152819 0.324053
2026-01-25 0.001972 0.005282 0.012948 0.031214 0.072278 0.157681 0.344087
2026-02-01 0.001710 0.004785 0.012184 0.030429 0.072762 0.163330 0.366282
2026-02-08 0.001530 0.004462 0.011770 0.030383 0.074861 0.172547 0.396851
2026-02-15 0.001331 0.004048 0.011073 0.029555 0.075053 0.177662 0.419111
2026-02-22 0.001264 0.003989 0.011253 0.030908 0.080530 0.194983 0.469940
2026-03-01 0.001143 0.003748 0.010925 0.030924 0.082779 0.205234 0.505877
2026-03-08 0.000994 0.003393 0.010235 0.029896 0.082307 0.209139 0.527604
2026-03-15 0.000890 0.003157 0.009835 0.029584 0.083609 0.217354 0.560249
2026-03-22 0.000863 0.003162 0.010123 0.031211 0.090164 0.238911 0.626966